Hot records are outpacing cool by more than 10-to-1 this year as Europe, US brace for dangerous heat. Specifically, Reclamation modeled operations as follows: The Glen Canyon Dam annual release is initially set to 7.00 maf, and in April of the given year Reclamation will evaluate hydrologic conditions to determine if balancing releases may be appropriate under the conditions established in the 2007 Interim Guidelines; Balancing releases will be limited (with a minimum of 7.00 maf) to protect Lake Powell from declining below elevation 3,525 feet at the end of December; and, Balancing releases will take into account operational neutrality of the 0.480 maf that was retained in Lake Powell under the. National Parks Traveler was formed in the state of Utah for the purpose of informing and educating about national parks and protected areas. 2023 Cable News Network. At that point, hydropower couldno longer be generated and any water that flows to Mead would then have tosqueezethrough four smaller tubes that were not designed to handle those volumes, especially over an extended period. Reach Allhands at joanna.allhands@arizonarepublic.com. Launch ramp access this summer, according to Lake Mead . "But what happens during drought is that the rains that would refill this groundwater end up just refilling the dry root zone and either delaying or preventing recharging of the groundwater system that supplies streams and reservoirs.". Southern Nevada relies on Lake Mead for 90 percent of its water supply. The bureaus next consequential report comes in August, at which point it will determine whether more cuts are needed. appreciated. the Colorado River has endured a drought for two decades and officials project Lake Mead's water levels will continue . 601 Nevada Way Launch ramps at Temple Bar and Boulder Harbor will remain closed. Order your guide, either as an ePub ebook for your Kindle or as a PDF version. Georgia: A full and fair description of the programs and financial statement summary of National Parks Traveler is available upon request at the office and phone number indicated above. As it continues, weather patterns are becoming harder to predict, meaning people are using the water faster than it can be replenished. One is that federal officials made an unprecedented decision last month to delay water released from upstream at Lake Powell, to preserve the Glen Canyon Dams hydropower-producing capabilities. One of the towns final residents left in 1938 when waters reached his front door, according to the Deseret News. It is now at its lowest level since the lake was being filled in 1937. Projected water levels are provided typically on the 15th of each month by theBOR.Water level status projections from the BORs March 2022 Most Probable Inflow 24-Month Study: The NPS and interagency partners are collaborating to plan for longer term operational conditions as water levels in Lake Mead continue to fluctuate. The reduction of releases from Lake Powell from 7.48 maf to 7.00 maf in WY 2022 resulted in a reduced release volume of 0.480 maf that normally would have been released from Glen Canyon Dam to Lake Mead as part of the 7.48 maf annual release volume, consistent with routine operations under the 2007 Interim Guidelines. The lake may eventually reach dead pool, which is at 895 feet, when the water would no longer flow past the dam. The drought in the Western U.S. has been ongoing for two decades. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. A forecast from the Bureau of Reclamation released on August 31 show the two and five year projections at the lake. Drought has a way of revealing things. The March 2022 forecast estimates are . Results from CRMMS run with ESP are referred to as CRMMS-ESP. At Tier 3 something the forecast suggests is possible starting in January 2024 water cuts could be deep enough to extend beyond agriculture and impact household and industrial water use. However, boaters should expect higher congestion at these locations. Lake Mead's water levels have risen slightly from 1,042.97 feet at the beginning of December, to 1,045.80 feet as of January 19. Despite the lackluster outlook for Lake Mead's water levels, the drought status of California, Nevada and Arizona has been alleviated significantly by the recent rainfall. There is some opportunity for the Colorado River to pick up more inflow between Lake Powell and Lake Mead, from springs and small creeks in the Grand Canyon but drought and climate change have been reducing these flows, as well. All rights reserved. Previous Bureau of Recreation (BOR) projections anticipated this lake level drop happening in May, but the most recent projections suggest it will occur sooner. South Coves launch ramp is closed, but primitive launching is still available approximately 0.5 mile to the south of the concrete launch ramp. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. However, boaters should expect higher congestion at these locations. The recent rainfall is unlikely to be a long-term solution for the lake. But she also pointed more generally to the Southwests worsening drought, which has increased the amount of water agriculture is pulling from the Colorado River. Florida: A COPY OF THE OFFICIAL REGISTRATION AND FINANCIAL INFORMATION FOR NATIONAL PARKS TRAVELER, (REGISTRATION NO. The Bureau of Reclamation released the report showing the lake level will drop every month until December, when the forecast shows the lake rising from 1,037.60 feet back up to 1,039.92 feet. The Lake hadn't reached such a low level since it was constructed in the 1930s. A side by side comparison shows the changes in Lake Mead's water levels since 2000 to 2022. There tends to be plenty of stuff that goes to the bottom and you just wait around, Green said. If we dont, that means well have to put even more water in the kitty in subsequent years to make up the difference. Highest congestion at launch ramps typically occurs on weekends, so weekday visits are encouraged when possible to enjoy the lake with fewer crowds. Federal officials make those determinations on a year-by-year basis in August. Lake Mead is mainly filled by releases from an upstream reservoir called Lake Powell, which captures runoff in the Upper Colorado River Basin. On December 1, 2022, the lake's water levels were 1,042.97 feet above sea level, while as of February 1, 2023, they measured 1,046.99 feet. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. In August, the bureau predicted the reservoir would most likely be at 1,059 feet at the end of this month, and 1,057 feet at worst. The monthly, two-year forecast from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation has once again been revised down, with lake levels hitting a new potential low of 1,007 feet of elevation in November 2023.. Its inevitable, said Michael Green, an associate professor of history at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. So what does that mean for the water levels at Lake Mead? Projections at Lake Mead show there is a chance as high as 66% that water levels will decline to 1,025 feet by 2025, triggering a Tier 3 Shortage. Jennifer Pitt, the Colorado River program director with the National Audubon Society, an environmental organization, previously told Newsweek: "To refill the Colorado River reservoirs, you would need three average years of snowfall without any water use. Projection for end of October 2022 is 1,047.47 feet. The lingering drought is the overriding reason that the lake's water level will fall again in 2022, but it's . Over-extraction, extreme heat and decreased snowmelt have burdened the Colorado River Basin and nearly 40 years later, Lake Mead is down to about 27% of its capacity. Officials are focused on the wrong problem, advocates say. NOAA water level observations are available at specific locations, as described on the Monitoring Network page or as a lake-wide average. Since March 15, 2022, when the paper was presented to the Geological Society of America, the official water level for Lake Mead dropped from 1,067 feet to 1,041 feet in August, then increased . 25 Feb/23. A Warner Bros. Lake Mead has been slowly rising now at 1,046.3 feet and is now about 5.5 feet above where it was near the end of July (1,040.6 feet). Pennsylvania: The official registration and financial information of National Parks Traveler may be obtained from the Pennsylvania Department of State by calling 800-732-0999. And were still using way more water than the Colorado River reliably produces. Officials are focused on the wrong problem, advocates say. The disruption in society will beunprecedented. However, as of January 11, Lake Mead was still only at 28 percent of its full pool level. Information from NOAA-GLERL. Let us know via science@newsweek.com. While Lake Mead National Recreation Area in Nevada is open for business, declining water levels could create problems for those hoping to launch power boats this year, according to the National Park Service. This is due to recent heavy rainfall and winter storms that swept across Nevada and the neighboring states. Correction 2/2/23: This article was updated to state that increased snowpack on the Rocky Mountains will feed Lakes Mead and Powell. This could be down to some incredibly heavy rainfall sweeping the region, which may help offset the effects of the drought. If you love this content (or love to hate it hey, I won't judge),why not subscribe to get more? Since the beginning of December, the reservoir's water levels have steadily increased. At the same time in 2021, the water levels were at 1,067 feet, while in 2020. From there, the Bureau projected the water levels could keep declining, before reaching the low point of 1,024.47. The Bureau of Reclamation's most recent projections show Lake Mead dropping to 1,033.4 feet in elevation by the end of 2023, about 14 feet lower than the reservoir's current level. The reservoirwhich stretches across Nevada and Arizona, on the Colorado Riveris relied upon by 25 million people living in the region. 2. Launch ramps at Temple Bar and Boulder Harbor will remain closed. But there arent just bodies in the water that comes in from the Colorado River, and experts say as the bathtub ring around the lake grows, more discoveries are waiting. At the beginning of 2022, the lake's water levels were at 1,066 feet. But the rest of the lower basin is going to have to throw it in high gear, if were going to hit our target this year. Which lets just call it now is highly unlikely. The state saw a particularly wet monsoon season at the end of July and into August, meaning the river filled slightly. 89005, Download the official NPS app before your next visit. But it's a sign of a much bigger problem. The latest report from the US Bureau of Reclamation shows Lake Mead at just over 1,040 feet above sea level in July, having dropped nearly 10 feet in just two months, and is currently at just 27% of its maximum capacity. Recording and transmission times may be more frequent during critical events. More extreme water cuts are all but certain in the Southwest starting next year including new water cuts for California according to the latest government forecast for the Colorado River and Lake Mead, the countrys largest reservoir. The lake is currently at 1,042 feet, but forecasts show it dropping to 1,016 at the end of. With the ongoing drought, these weather patterns are becoming more unpredictable and the lake isn't filling up as much as it once did. There are several policies being put in place to mitigate the low water levels in Lake Mead, including the Drought Contingency Plan, which cuts water deliveries made to Lower Basin states. The latest forecast from the US Bureau of Reclamation shows the reservoir plummeting from its current elevation of around 1049 feet above sea level to around 1037 feet by this September. A Tier 3 shortage would impact the amount of . This cuts water deliveries made to Lower Basin states, which include Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico and Utah. Reclamation only includes about half because thats all the agreements that have been signed. The Colorado River reservoirwhich has been rapidly drying up due to the ongoing megadrought gripping Nevada and neighboring statescould reach lows of 1,024.47 feet by November, a study released by the Bureau on January 19 said. Great Lakes Water Level Observations. He also cautioned that the Pacific Ocean is heading into its third La Nina year in a row, which is a very rare event. La Nina, defined by cooler-than-average water in the equatorial Pacific, has a strong influence on weather in the US West. People look out at Lake Mead from the Overlook at Hoover Dam Lodge in Boulder City, Nevada, on June 30. Recent rainfall and an increase in the snowpack on the Colorado Rocky mountains has made more water available for reservoirs like Lake Mead and its neighbor Lake Powell. But even though the water levels have risen, this isn't likely to help the lake in the long term. If the forecast indicates Lake Meads water level will be below 1,050 feet come January 1, the Southwest will move into the second tier of unprecedented water cuts that will deepen the impacts for cities, industry and tribal water users. File photos of Lake Mead and heavy rainfall. Although these are only estimates, the lake has been in a dire state for years, meaning it is likely that water levels will drop further than they already have in the coming year. In July 2022, the lake reached a historic low of 1,040 feet above sea level. Lake Mead doesn't just rely on rainfall for its water, but snowpack that flows down through the mountains. A week after that discovery, two sisters paddle-boarding on the lake came across what they thought were the bones of a bighorn sheep, but which turned out to be another set of human remains. Box 980452, Park City, Utah 84098. Water Quality Current Conditions Table. The reduction of releases from Lake Powell from 7.48 maf to 7.00 maf in water year 2022 will result in a reduced release volume of 0.480 maf that normally would have been released from Glen Canyon Dam to Lake Mead as part of the 7.48 maf annual release volume, consistent with routine operations under the 2007 Interim Guidelines. 2. The latest report from the US Bureau of Reclamation shows Lake Mead at just over 1,040 feet above sea level in July, having dropped nearly 10 feet in just two months, and is currently at just. The agricultural demands downstream have actually been higher this year because it was a warmer and drier spring than normal, Aaron said. On December 1, 2022, the lake's water levels were 1,042.97 feet above sea level, while as of February 1, 2023, they measured 1,046.99 feet. The sudden rainfall which has swept the region has even changed Nevada's drought status, which usually remains pretty static. Because of the reservoirs plummeting level, states that rely on water from the lower Colorado River were already subject to the cuts that accompany a Tier 1 shortage beginning in January 2022, which have mainly impacted agricultural water use. Projection for end of July 2022 is 1,046.87 feet. The May forecast also includes about half of the water needed to carry out the 500-plus plan, which was supposed to keep Lake Mead just above its last major defense point of 1,020 feet if we voluntarily saved 500,000 acre-feet of water, over and above whatever mandatory cuts we must make based on the level of shortage the lake has reached, each year for five years. The May forecast only projects hitting 3,489 feet once, in March 2024, and thats only in the minimum probable forecast. The current water elevation for end of March is 1,063.11 feet. If it reaches this point, the lake, which provides electricity to thousands of people, will reach a dire point. It is formed by the Hoover Dam, which was first constructed between 1931 and 1936. Water levels in Lake Mead reached the lowest they have ever been last July, at 1,040.8 feet. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Scientists are putting it mainly down to human-driven climate change. Do you have a tip on a science story that Newsweek should be covering? The ongoing drought in the western United States has been one of the driest stretches seen in the U.S. in the past. Lake Mead's water level is projected to drop more than 30 feet in the next two years, and the Southern Nevada Water Authority is urging people to continue conserving water. A woman paddles across the water at Lake Mead, Nevada last week. The Bureau of Reclamation's most recent projections show Lake Mead dropping to 1,033.4 feet in elevation by the end of 2023, about 14 feet lower than the reservoir's current level. With climate change, its highly unlikely that well get years of wetter than normal conditions. "But, remember, because our reservoirsparticularly Powell and Meadare so low from 23-plus years of drought, it would take many years of above-average snow and runoff to refill the reservoirs. Lake Mead's water levels have risen slightly with an influx of heavy rainfall, but will that be enough to save the rapidly drying up reservoir? This means less water will be portioned out to some states in the 2022 water year. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. A formerly sunken boat sits high and dry along the shoreline of Lake Mead in May. The monthly, two-year forecast from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation has once again been revised down, with lake levels hitting a new potential low of 1,007 feet of elevation in November 2023. ), they also limit the amount of groundwater that is stored within the landscape," Daniella Rempe, a hydrologist and geomorphologist at the Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas in Austin, previously told Newsweek. Our commitment to understanding the impacts of climate change on park resources, infrastructure, operations, and visitor experiences is central to ensuring the safe, responsible and long-term use and enjoyment of all Lake Mead has to offer. The reservoir is also formed by the Hoover Dam, which produces about 4 billion kilowatt-hours of hydroelectric power every year. Help power the National Parks Travelers coverage of national parks and protected areas. Updated The latest forecast would suggest that California, Arizona, Nevada and Mexico would see even more significant cuts to their Colorado River water starting in January, and without a couple of blockbuster winters with lots of rain and snow more severe cuts the following year that would stretch into household and industrial use. Although Lake Mead's water levels reached an all time low in 2022, it was also the year that saw the water levels rise slightly for the first time in three years. Today the water uses allowed by law are more than the river gets in an average year, so until the rules are changed it is unlikely the reservoirs will fill.". I would say there is a very good chance as the water level drops that we are going to find additional human remains, Ray Spencer, a lieutenant with the Las Vegas police, said in May. Aridification has led to low soil moisture and reduced runoff efficiencymeaning that even if we get big storms, less of it becomes runoff in the river. Get ready:Looming Colorado River shortages could raise water rates. One, at the end of January 2023, the Basin States are expected to submit a new plan to the federal government, who is undertaking a Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (SEIS) process under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA), for reducing water use by 2-4 million acre feet," Koebele said. "It has gotten warmer and drier, and the rules haven't changed fast enough to stop the decline. There might actually be some archaeological relics, Green said, adding that a nearby museum has artifacts from the Puebloan people, who lived in the area about a thousand years earlier. A Warner Bros. The May numbers reflect thewater that was intended for Lake Mead but left inLake Powell to help keep it above an elevation of 3,490 feet. On Twitter: @joannaallhands. These lake-wide averages are based on a select set of U.S. and Canadian station data as determined by the Coordinating Committee. The region continues to grapple with mostly dry conditions, and the water levels are still incredibly low compared to the same point last year. That means less water is now flowing downstream into Lake Mead. Wet years in the 1990s and 2000s did not refill the lakes it simply kept them from going lower. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. The full Colorado River system supplies water to 40 million people in seven western states as well as Mexico, and irrigates more than 5 million acres of farmland from Wyoming to the Gulf of California. These projections rely on future hydrology from the CBRFCs ESP method and may not be representative of the full range of future possibilities that could occur; other hydrology methods may result in a wider range of future hydrology and elevations. A sunken second world war-era Higgins landing craft that used to be nearly 200ft underwater rests on its side near the Lake Mead Marina on Thursday. All Rights Reserved. Its dead pool levels where the water is so low that it cannot flow through the hydroelectric Hoover dam will occur at 895 feet and below. Lake Mead, which provides water to roughly 25 million people in Arizona, Nevada, California and Mexico, is losing water at an alarming rate amid an extraordinary, multi-year drought made worse by the climate crisis. The park is actively evaluating the long-term implications of ongoing historic drought on recreational infrastructure and analyzing the most accurate scientific data available to make the best decisions possible. Thats 18 feet past the deepest level of shortage for which weve plannedand 13 feet below its last major defense point before the lake completely tanks. The combination of dry soils, a third La Nina and critically low reservoirs levels is a major concern.. News Release Date: September 24, 2021 BOULDER CITY, Nev.. - Lake Mead National Recreation Area (NRA) is reminding boaters to be aware of expected changes to water access points and boat launch areas in 2022 due to historically low water levels.Three launch ramps and three marinas remain open in the park; however, some launch sites will be impacted next spring and summer by continuing . "[Additionally,] many of the current policies that govern Colorado River allocations, including the DCP [drought contingency plan] and other shortage-sharing guidelines, expire in 2026, so the states and federal government are simultaneously beginning a process to develop rules for the next 20 years of Colorado River management that can help mitigate some of these issues. Do you have a question about Lake Mead? The lake is predicted to reach an even lower level in the coming months: projections from the Bureau of Reclamation show that Lake Mead could drop as low as 1,024.47 feet by November 2023. 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